The country will see a peak in September 2021, not a peak in Corona's case by March 2021
New delhi date. Thursday, July 16, 2020
At a time when cases of corona virus are increasing rapidly all over the world, a scary study has come up for India. A joint study on corona conducted by IIT Bhubaneswar and AIIMS has claimed that the number of corona patients in the country could rise significantly in winter.
According to the report, the number of corona patients in the country could cross one crore by November while more than five lakh people are feared to be victims of corona. At present, the total number of corona cases in India has crossed one million and the death toll is over 25,500.
A joint study by IIT Bhubaneswar and AIIMS Bhubaneswar said, "Corona cases in India could rise significantly from the onset of winter." According to the study, a one degree Celsius rise in temperature could lead to a 0.99 percent reduction in coronary heart disease cases.
Except for the case the doubling time can be increased by about 1.13 days. The report said that the increase in humidity increases the number of cases of corona while the time of doubling of cases decreases by about 1.18 days. Thus, cases of corona are expected to increase in monsoons and may rise further in winter.
On the other hand, a study by the Indian Institute of Science (IISC) also supports a joint study by IIT Bhubaneswar and AIIMS. The IISC study claims that the number of corona cases in the country will reach 3.5 million by September 1, which is almost three and a half times more than the current number.
At present, on an average, more than 30,000 new cases are being registered daily in the country. According to the study, the number of active cases of corona in the country could reach 10 lakh by September while the death toll could reach 1.4 lakh.
According to the study, the number of coronavirus cases in India could cross one crore by November 1. The total number of corona patients in the country on November 1 could be 12 million and the death toll could be five lakh. The death toll could rise to 10 lakh by January. According to the study, the number of corona virus cases in the country on January 1 could be 29 million.
The IISC study states that Corona is not likely to reach peak in India by March, 2021. By March 2021, Corona's case could be as low as 37.4 lakh, one of the best in the country.
In the worst case scenario, Corona's case will be more than 62 million, with 82 million active cases. Apart from this, more than 2.8 million people in the country have died from corona by this time. However, even in the worst case scenario, Corona's case will not be at its peak in India in March 2021.
However, in the best case scenario the corona in the country could reach its peak by September 2021. According to the study, the emphasis is on drastic measures, including three days a week of lockdowns and the rest of the days to prevent the spread of corona in the country.
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